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4th International Conference on Computational Intelligence in Economics and Finance (CEF)

CEF-1: Agent-Based Modeling of Financial Markets

Learning Foreign Exchange Intervention Policies with an Artificial Market
Hiroki Matsui, Kiyoshi Izumi, Satoshi Tojo
 

Interactive Estimation of Agent-Based Financial Markets Models
Ihsan Ecemis, Eric Bonabeau, Trent Ashburn
 

Market Efficiency and Rational Expectation under Asymmetric Information and Uncertainty in Price Prediction
Takuya Kato, Hideyuki Tanaka, Yu Chen, Hirotada Ohashi
 

What Causes Persistence of Stock Return Volatility? One Possible Explanation with an Artificial Stock Market
Ryuichi Yamamoto
 

A multi-period CAPM with heterogeneous beliefs
Hendri Adriaens, Bas Donkers, Bertrand Melenberg
 

Avalanche Dynamics of the Financial Market
Pei-Ling Zhou, Chun-Xia Yang, Tao Zhou, Min Xu, Jun Liu, Bing-Hong Wang
 

CEF-2: Neural Networks (I)

Examining the Internal Complexity of a Neural Network Trained with Divisia Component Data
Vincent A. Schmidt, Jane M. Binner
 

Evaluating the Performance of a EuroDivisia Index Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques
J.M. Binner, A.M. Gazely, G. Kendall
 

An Exploratory Study for Neural Net Forecasting of Retail Sales Trends Using Economic Indicators
Mike Orra, Gursel Serpen
 

Forecasting Exchange Rates with Nonlinear Models
André Alves Portela Santos, Leandro dos Santos Coelho, Newton C. A. da Costa Jr
 

Predicting Exchange Rate Direction with Leading Indicators via Neural Network Model
Fu-Ming Lee, Li-Hua Li, Chia-Yang Lin
 

The Self-Referential Construction for Computational Intelligence Processing in Economics and Finance
Jishou Ruan, Yalou Huang
 

CEF-3: Wavelet Analysis

The Fractal Behaviour of CAC 40 Returns Examined in the Time-Frequency Domain
Serge Hayward
 

Second Generation Wavelet Transforms of Yield Curve Shifts
Joel R. Barber, Mark L. Copper
 

Multiscale Time Series Analysis of the Taiwan Stock Market: A Wavelet-Based Approach
Chueh-Yung Tsao, Chun-Ru Lin
 

Computational Forecasting of Two Exchange Rates
Mak Kaboudan
 

Time-Series Data Analysis with Rough Sets
Joseph Herbert, JingTao Yao
 

CEF-5: Neural Networks (II)

Radial Basis Function Techniques for Regression Analysis of Economic Trends
Marcus L. Roberts, Steven C. Gustafson
 

Investment Analysis of Real Estate by Using Radial Basis Probabilistic Neural Networks
X.-G. Wang, Y.-S. Ding, X.-F. Zhang, Y.-Q. You, S.-H. Shao
 

Neural Networks for Extracting Implied Risk-Neutral Probability Density Surface of Stock Index Options
Ing-Chyuan Wu
 

Correlation Prediction between Foreign Stock Exchanges
Chiu-Che Tseng, Han-Chiu Huang, I-Wan Wang
 

Bayesian Analysis of Neural Network Models for Conditional Return Distribution
Tatiana Miazhynskaia, Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter, Georg Dorffner
 

CEF-6: Fuzzy Logic

Analysis on Reciprocal Community Currency Using Fuzzy Measure Theory
Masayuki Kokabu, Takafumi Ikeda, Osamu Katai, Takayuki Shiose, Hiroshi Kawakami
 

Ranking Stocks Using FMCDM
Chung-Tsen Tsao
 

An Overview of Insurance Uses of Fuzzy Logic
Arnold F. Shapiro
 

CEF-7: Neural Networks (III)

The Consistency of Self-Declared Hedge Fund Styles: A Return-Based Analysis with Self-Organizing Maps
Ramin Baghai-Wadji , Rami El-Berry, Stefan Klocker, Markus Schwaiger
 

An Application of Kohonen's SOM for the Management of Benchmarking Policies
Raquel Florez-Lopez
 

Estimating Female Labor Force Participation through Statistical and Machine Learning Methods: A Comparison
Omar Zambranoa, Claudio M. Rocco S., Marco Musellic
 

An Application of One-Class Support Vector Machine for Currency Crises Discrimination
Claudio M. Rocco S.
 

Detection and Prediction of Relative Clustered Volatility in Financial Markets
Karen Hovsepian, Peter C. Anselmo, Subhasish Mazumdar
 

CEF-8: Agent-Based Modeling: Learning & Games

On Variant Evolution of Party Competition
Jie-Shin Lin
 

Efficiency and Traps of Social Learning: Some Computational Experiments
Yuya Sasaki
 

Achieving Cooperation Using Artificial Immune Systems
Tzai-Der Wang, Colin Fyfe
 

Choosing Multi-Issue Negotiating Object Based on K-Armed Bandit Problem
Liming Wang, Yumei Chai, Houkuan Huang
 

CEF:9 Evolutionary Methods

A Genetic Algorithm for the Structural Estimation of Games: A First Report
Victor Aguirregabiria, Pedro Mira
 

Using Fractal's Addition and GP for N-Steps Ahead Forecasting
Chao-Fu Hong, Chi-Liang Yang
 

Using GAs to Minimise the Bullwhip Effect in a Supply Chain
T. O'Donnell, L. Maguire, R. McIvor, P. Humphreys
 

Volatility Forecast by Discrete Stochastic Optimization and Genetic Algorithms
Irwin Ma, Tony Wong, Thiagas Sankar, Lisa Li
 

CEF-10: Economic Systems: Theoretical Approach

Properties of a Renewal Process Approximation for a Spin Market Model
Muffasir Badshah, Robert Boyer, Theodore Theodosopoulos
 

Dynamic Pricing on Commercial Websites: A Computationally Intensive Approach
Patrick Mullen, Kevin Seppi, Sean Warnick
 

Predicting Uncertain Outcomes Using Information Markets
Yiling Chen, Tracy Mullen, Chao-Hsien Chu
 

Escape Dynamics: A Continuous Time Approach
Dmitri Kolyuzhnov, Anna Bogomolova, Sergey Slobodyan
 

Implications of the Small Gain Theorem in the Design of an Economic Laboratory
N. Tran, C. Giraud-Carrier, K. Seppi, S. Warnick
 

The Value of Cooperation Within a Profit-Maximizing Organization
N. Tran, West, C. Giraud-Carrier, K. Seppi, S. Warnick, Johnson
 

CEF-11: Financial Date Mining: Multi odel Approach

Forecasting Agricultural Commodity Prices Using Hybrid Neural Networks
Tamer Shahwan, Martin Odening
 

Evolutionary Method for Real-Word Times Series Prediction
Tiago A. E. Ferreira, Germano C. Vasoncelos, Paulo J. L. Adeodato
 

Forecasting High-Frequency Financial Data Volatility via Nonparametric Algorithms: Evidence from Taiwan Financial Market
Wo-Chiang Lee
 

Time Series Financial Data Mining
Chiu-Che Tseng, Ching-Tsai Kang
 

CEF-12: Forecasting Volatility in Financial Market (I)

A New Model in Forecasting Dynamic Correlations
Ray Y. Chou, Nathan Liu, Chun-Chou Wu
 

Measuring the Connection Strengths between Markets Using Artificial Neural Networks
Mona R. El Shazly
 

An Empirical Approach toward Realistic Modeling of Capital Market Volatility
Nan-Jye Wang, Kelu Wang
 

Boosting Frameworks in Financial Applications: From Volatility Forecasting to Portfolio Strategy Optimization
Valeriy V. Gavrishchaka
 

Trading Strategy Based on Grey Clustering in Financial Bear Market
Yen-Tseng Hsu, Hui-Fen Hung, Ming-Chung Liu, Chin-Tu Huang, Po-Tsang Yu
 

CEF-14: Financial Markets: Theoretical Approach

Financial Modelling of Customer Value
David Collings, Nicola Baxter
 

Prospect Theory and the Irrational Herding in Stock Markets
Len-Kuo Hu, Ching-Mann Huang, Yu-Shiu Lin
 

Options with Underlying Asset Driven by a Fractional Brownian Motion: Crossing Barriers Estimates
Roy Cerqueti, Giulia Rotundo
 

Financial Risk Assessment: A Property Investment Case Study
Enda J. Cummins
 

CEF-15: Integrating Human and Computational Intelligence in Commercial Product Designs

Entrusting Users in Interactive Evolutionary Computation Directly Select Chromosomes for Evolving: A Case Study of Designing Mineral Water Bottles
Fang-Cheng Hsu, Ming-Hsiang Hung
 

Creative Design by Social Affiliation Based Interactive Evolutionary Computation
Hsiao-Fang Yang, Mu-Hua Lin, Chao-Fu Hong
 

A Comparison of Three Fitness Prediction Strategies for Interactive Genetic Algorithms
Leuo-hong Wang, Jun-de Liao
 

Evolutionary Interactive Genetic Algorithms: A Special Breed of Interactive Genetic Algorithms
Chien-Jen Huang, Chao-Fu Hong
 

Using Interactive Genetic Algorithm for Bundle Design
Wen-Shiu Lin, Hsin-Yi Wang
 

The Study of Idea Generation and New Product Design Based on Human-Based Genetic Algorithm
Wen-Shiu Lin, Lan-Ying Chan
 

CEF-16: Classifer Systems

Hybrid-agent Organization Modeling: A Logical-heuristic Approach
Ana Marostica, Cesar Briano, Ernesto Chinkes
 

Application of an Instance Based Learning Algorithm for Predicting Stock Market Index
Ruppa K. Thulasiram, Adenike Y. Bamgbade
 

The Application of EBO Model to Forecast Financial Distressed Companies
Kunhuang Huarng, Hui-Kuang Yu, Chong-Jiang Chen
 

FD prediction using the Bayes classifier with MFA
Jigang Xie, Zhengding Qiu, Yanjun Han
 

CEF-17: Forecasting Volatility in Financial Market (II)

Portfolio Value-at-Risk Forecasting with GA-based Extreme Value Theory
Ping-Chen Lin
 

Pricing and Hedging Derivative Securities Based on Neural Network Coefficient Model
Po-Chang Ko
 

CEF-18: Financial Markets: Econometric Approach

Investor Sentiment and Excess Returns-Empirical Evidences from Taiwan Stock Market
Wen-Chen Lo, Ku-Jun Lin
 

Market Microstructure: Time Series Analysis
Yuriy Nevmyvaka, Katia Sycara
 

Using Data Mining Techniques for Detecting Noises and Pre-Processing Financial Time Series
Carson K.-S. Leung, Ruppa K. Thulasiram, Dmitri A. Bondarenko
 

CEF-19: Forecasting Volatility in Financial Market (III)

Consolidation Strategies Based on Fuzzy Clustering
Yen-Tseng Hsu, Ming-Chung Liu, Hui-Fen Hung, Chin-Tu Huang, Dian-Lin Wu
 

Use the £n-Steps Ahead Predicting to Discover the Trading Signal
Chao-Fu Hong, Chi-Liang Yang
 

Volatility Forecasting with Sparse Bayesian Kernel Models
P. Tino, N. Nikolaev, X. Yao
 

Evaluating Efficiency of Index Fund Selections over the Fund's Future
Yukiko Orito
 

CEF-20: Agent-Based Modeling: Policies & Industrial Economics

On Normative and Liberal Pension Policy in Model Economy with Genetic Learning
Lukas Pichl
 

New Mexico Tech Currency Markets Modeling Project
Peter C. Anselmo, Karen Hovsepian, Carlos Ulibarri, Mauro X. Trabatti
 

Co-Evolving Business Models: A Case Study with the Internet Service Provider (ISP) Industry
Ian Fenty, Eric Bonabeau, Juergen Branke
 

Lottery Markets--Design, Micro-Structure, and Macro-Behavior: An Agent-Based Computational Approach
Shu-Heng Chen, Bin-Tzong Chie, Chia-Wei Lee
 

Lottery Sales and Income Distribution
Shu-Heng Chen, Bin-Tzong Chie, Huei-Feng Fan
 

 

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